To
set the context for the November 3rd
presidential election, the Democrats must agree that Donald Trump
will be “wilding,”--
going
on a protracted and politically violent rampage: intentionally
attacking African, Asian, Native and Latinx Americans; immigrants;
and progressives. In this death match for his reelection, all bets
are off for any form of political decency.
Since
Trump has escaped all threats of sanctions for his past and current
political crimes, he is a man without fear. This is his last stand
for victory, and unlike General George Armstrong Custer, he has a
credible chance of winning. His chosen weapons for this battle are
bigotry and non-stop appeals to the vilest instincts of a segment of
the American electorate that he believes will rally behind him as he
staves off the lessening of white power and white supremacy.
This
approach has increased saliency as the makeup of the nation is
steadily trending toward becoming majority minority. Trump is
seizing on this demographic transition and using it to appeal to the
self-interests of America’s white ethnics and to steer changes
in the nation’s laws and federal judiciary toward the creation
of an apartheid-type legal and civic wall between the increasing
numbers of Americans of color and the decreasing numbers of their
white brothers and sisters.
These
methods, if even moderately successful, could decimate Biden’s
lead in the same way that Republican Vice President George H.W.
Bush’s racist Willie Horton TV commercials eviscerated the 18
point lead of his Democratic presidential opponent, Gov. Michael
Dukakis, in 1988 and led to a comfortable Republican win.
Hence,
Joe Biden is at a crossroads in the 2020 presidential campaign
although, at the moment, he is leading Donald Trump outside the
margin of error in the average of national polls and in the
battleground states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) that were
the key to Trump’s unexpected 2016 triumph. The wind is at
Biden’s back, but there are doubts among his supporters and
adversaries as to whether he can keep his polling advantage through
Election Day.
While
Trump has consistently stubbed his political toe in his handling of
the COVID-19 pandemic and his constant endorsement of xenophobic
imagery, his most recent action is his collaboration with his
political helpmate, Vladimir Putin. U.S. intelligence officials have
concluded that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian
Federation is funneling a $100,000 bounty to the Taliban for each
American soldier it kills.
The
New
York Times
and other reputable news outlets have reported exhaustively about
this issue, and White House staff has claimed that the President was
never briefed on the matter because it never cleared the proper
security channels due to an alleged inter-agency disagreement.
Trump’s emphatic pushback and denial appear to have once again
enabled him to evade what is apparent to reasonable observers.
The
Democrats seem incapable of laying a glove on Trump even when they
have him pinned in a political corner much like Muhammad Ali, who
came
in as a 4–1 underdog
against the heavy-hitting, supposedly
unbeatable George
Foreman,
parried
repeated punches and won the heavyweight boxing championship in the
historic 1974 “rumble in the jungle” in Kinshasa, Zaire.
If
Biden and the Democrats don’t get a grip on the current
political reality, Trump will steamroll over them in the same way he
steamrolled over their last standard bearer in 2016. It is
imperative that Biden hone a coherent campaign message, carefully
prepare for what are sure to be raucous debates, and wisely make a
consequential vice presidential choice he needs to help pull him
across the finish line in first place.
So
far, Biden has not developed a precise and engaging message that has
captivated the body politic. He has succeeded primarily by not
making mistakes and by reinforcing in the public’s mind that
Trump’s continuing gaffes and personal narcissism make him
unfit to lead the nation during these trying times.
Biden
must outline a detailed agenda of his response to the COVID-19
pandemic, the future of public education in the aftermath of and/or
in concert with the coronavirus, and the revamping of police training
and transparency in law enforcement’s interactions with
communities of color. The messaging should be easy to grasp;
repeatedly rolled out in TV, digital, and radio ads; and infused into
his debate responses. But most important is that the latter
messaging be more responsive to protesters’ “defund the
police” demand.
Additionally,
progressives’ enthusiasm has already been diminished as
revealed in their vigorous pushback against Biden’s statements
about his willingness to compromise with Republicans during his
recent address to the National Education Association. Their
opposition to old-line liberal Democrats was earlier demonstrated in
their landslide defeat of three-decade Rep. Eliot Engel (D-NY), Chair
of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, who was beaten by his
first-time progressive opponent in the June 2020 Democratic primary.
Joe
Biden’s vice presidential selection may well determine whether
he wins or loses. Given the stealthy and dishonest electoral battle
schemes of Donald Trump, Biden’s running mate must be able to
hit the ground running and to galvanize his get-out-the-vote
operation across the Democratic base, especially within African
American communities where turnout will be decisive.
Therefore,
to be effective at this historic juncture in societal relations, the
vice-presidential candidate should be an African American woman.
(Biden has already stated that he will name a female.) More crucial,
however, is what she brings to the ticket.
She
must have a keen understanding of the voter suppression strategies
that have been employed to disadvantage communities of color and ways
of counteracting them. Ability to think well on her feet and a
readiness to respond to political and personal attacks with the
utmost diplomacy are critical assets as well. She must also possess
electrifying oratorical skills and be capable of inspiring
multi-racial and multi-age groups and communities. All females under
consideration must meet these criteria.
Since
her primary tasks, initially, will be to help him maintain and extend
his advantage over Donald Trump, it is most important that the future
female vice-presidential running mate is simpatico with Joe Biden.
Cutting to the chase, let us acknowledge that not just any black
female will do. Being more
specific,
however,
we need to accept that both cops in contention,
Rep.
Val Demings (D-FL) and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), present a special
set of problems.
During
these times when protestors are putting their lives on the line to
object to unjust police and criminal justice practices, Demings’
and Harris’ past pro-cop initiatives such as ignoring and/or
dismissing police abuse, supporting pro-police legislation, and in
facilitating mass incarceration would serve as kindling that the
Trump campaign would surely take advantage of to suppress turnout
among millennials and progressives.
While
white donors and advisors, unfamiliar with the nuances of the
situation, may see the aforementioned women as viable options, they
must take a back seat and allow African American counsellors, who
possess an enhanced understanding of individual and personality types
that would excite blacks and other members of the Democratic base and
allow them to be the main influence in the final decision. An
erroneous pick could doom Biden’s chances for victory. Again
we ask: can Biden keep his advantage?
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