Despite the
recent surrender among several democratic
senators to end the government shutdown on
November 9th, the
chattering classes are still abuzz about the
political results of November 4. By now, most
Americans who are attuned to contemporary
politics are astutely aware of the undeniable
reality that voters delivered an old-fashioned
shellacking to Donald
Trump and
the Republican Party. Indeed, the results were
more impressive than Democrats themselves
had likely anticipated. Zohran Mamdani thundered
to an impressive victory over
the Trump faction and segments of the
Democratic-establishment-endorsed Andrew Cuomo
to become the first Muslim as well the youngest
mayor of New York in quite some time.
Additionally, Mikie
Sherrill and Abigail
Spanberger won
the governors’ races in New Jersey and Virginia
by commanding percentages. This marks the first
time that Democrats have won three consecutive
gubernatorial elections in New Jersey since
1961.
The night
only got better. The blue wave continued. Black
men, Latino men and women of all groups voted
overwhelmingly Democratic. California voters
decisively approved
new congressional-district boundaries as
Democrats seek to halt Republican redistricting
efforts ahead of next year’s battle for the
House of Representatives. Democrats retained
three pivotal seats on the Pennsylvania Supreme
Court. In Virginia, House
Democrats flipped 13 seats for their biggest
majority in nearly four decades. Below the
Mason–Dixon line in the Deep South, Democrats
switched two seats on Georgia’s statewide Public
Service Commission by sizable margins, and Peter
Hubbard and Alicia Johnson became the newest
members of the state’s five-person
public utility regulator after
earning roughly 60% of the vote. It’s the first
time Democrats have won a nonfederal statewide
office there since 2006, soaring energy costs
and displeasure with incumbents dominated the
race. In ruby-red Mississippi, Democrats
switched two seats that had been held by the GOP
for decades, another of the many surprising
victories for the party up and down the ballot
in the handful of races that occurred across the
nation.
What was
notable was that Mamdani, Spanberger, and
Sherrill reigned victorious in three very
diverse campaigns. Mamdani defeated an older,
flawed opponent in a very blue city. In the
Commonwealth of Virginia, Spanberger handily won
over an admittedly eccentric, politically
problematic Republican candidate in a state that
landed in the center of government job cuts. In
the Northeast, Democratic
candidate Mikie Sherrill, whose race
was supposed to be “close” according to several
journalistic sources, emerged the
winner by a 15-point margin! To say that
November 4, 2025, was a bad night for the
Republican Party is an understatement.
Certain
right-wing personalities were quick to voice
their disdain at fellow conservatives. “We got
our a–es handed to us,” said Ohio GOP
gubernatorial candidate Vivek
Ramaswamy in a
video on the social platform X, arguing that
Republicans need to focus more on affordability
and less on identity politics in their
messaging. Right-wing provocateur Dinesh D’Souza
opined, “A very loud group on the Right said,
‘Indians go home,’ and so many of them did -
to the Democratic Party.” Conservative
commentator and podcaster Tomi
Lahren said on X, “I don’t
necessarily think these election results are
indicative of what’s gonna’ happen next year,
but . . . The Republican Party is gonna’ have to
learn how to close the gender gap and
Republicans are not gonna’ like when I say this
but . . . You’re losing with millennial and Gen
Z women. I could tell you part of the reason why
. . . But you’re not gonna’ like it . . . Stop
lecturing women on how they should stay home and
be wives and mothers. It’s not your business.
Focus on what women VOTERS actually care about,
the economy and safety.”
Unsurprisingly,
high-profile Republicans such
as US
House Speaker
Mike
Johnson and right-wing media outlets
like Fox News, Newsmax, and others attempted to
minimize sweeping Democratic victories in
significant elections held on Tuesday, despite
the reality that many of the party’s victories
occurred in places that are not traditional
Democratic terrain.
Speaking in
Washington, D.C. on
Wednesday morning, the House speaker dismissed
the Democratic wins as entirely predictable. “There’s
no surprises. What happened last night was
blue states and blue cities voted blue. We all
saw that coming. And no one should read too
much into last night’s election results.
Off-year elections are not indicative of
what’s to come; that’s what history teaches us
. . . I think people are frustrated and angry
as we are. I am. The president is, and we
express that in different ways,” Johnson said.
“But we’re looking forward to a great
election, running on our record, and we’re
going to get all of our incumbents reelected, and
we’re going to add to the number here.”
Although
there is little to no dispute that Johnson is
correct that many voters across the political
spectrum are highly angry, intensely and deeply
resentful at the seemingly callous shenanigans
and indifference that appear to
have captured, saturated, and paralyzed the
government (largely due to the actions of
Republicans), this has rendered the legislative
body impotent in its ability to assist the
millions of Americans who are in desperate need
of help. That indisputable reality aside,
California is a reliably blue state.
Nonetheless, the truth is that Viriginia, New
Jersey, and Georgia are not solidly blue states.
Indeed, each would be considered a purple state
because the vast majority of rural areas in each
state are predominantly red. Moreover,
Mississippi is about as politically rock-ribbed,
ruby-red Republican as they come. Thus, the
speaker is likely in a deep case of willful
denial on this matter. Notably, President Trump
acknowledged the election results, claiming the
shutdown
was partly to
blame for Republicans’ losses.
Another
factor that solidified every victory was the
Democratic candidates’ ability to turn the issue
of affordability into a major source of concern
against the current president, dissolving a
November 2024 Republican advantage into a 2025
liability. New
York Times columnist Shane
Goldmacher argued:
“Democratic victories in New Jersey and Virginia
were built on promises to address the sky-high
cost of living in those states while blaming Mr.
Trump and his allies for all that ails those
places. In New York City, the sudden rise of
Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani, the democratic
socialist with an ambitious agenda to lower the
cost of living, put a punctuation mark on
affordability as a political force in 2025.”
Indeed, the
results were in part a referendum on Trump,
whose approval rating has never been lower. His
authoritarian grandstanding is a show of
weakness rather than strength. From ICE
raids to
frustratingly high grocery
prices, tariffs, stubborn inflation, and other
anxiety-inducing factors, including the $300m
White House ballroom and
Trump arrogantly hosting Gilded
Age/Great-Gatsbyesque parties, recent
developments demonstrate a searing level of tone
deafness on his part. To put it bluntly, his
presidency is immensely unpopular. Such a
resentful climate does not bode well for
Republicans in 2026.
Positive
political results aside, Democrats would be wise
not to overrate November 4. Historically
speaking, the party out of power always tends to
be more literally politically inspired. And
although Democrats have done well in special
elections all year, the party still faces
considerable challenges. A Washington
Post–ABC News–Ipsos opinion poll conducted
in late October revealed that 68% of Americans
think Democrats are out of touch. This means
that there is a serious disconnect between party
operatives and the public at large. These are
issues that can, must, and will likely be
addressed. Regardless, for the time being,
Democrats have good reason to delight in a very
impressive triumph. Well done.
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