Six
                                          months ago, Russia invaded Ukraine.
                                          The United States, NATO and the
                                          European Union (EU) wrapped themselves
                                          in the Ukrainian flag, shelled out
                                          billions for arms shipments, and
                                          imposed draconian sanctions intended
                                          to severely punish Russia for its
                                          aggression.
                                  
                                    Since
then,
                                          the people of Ukraine have been paying
                                          a price for this war that few of their
                                          supporters in the West can possibly
                                          imagine. Wars do not follow scripts,
                                          and Russia, Ukraine, the United
                                          States, NATO and the European Union
                                          have all encountered unexpected
                                          setbacks.
                                  
                                    Western
sanctions
                                          have had mixed results, inflicting
                                          severe economic damage on Europe as
                                          well as on Russia, while the invasion
                                          and the West’s response to it have
                                          combined to trigger a food crisis
                                          across the Global South. As winter
                                          approaches, the prospect of another
                                          six months of war and sanctions
                                          threatens to plunge Europe into a
                                          serious energy crisis and poorer
                                          countries into famine. So it is in the
                                          interest of all involved to urgently
                                          reassess the possibilities of ending
                                          this protracted conflict.
                                  
                                    For
those
                                                  who say negotiations are
                                                  impossible, we have only to
                                                  look at the talks that took
                                                  place during the first month
                                                  after the Russian invasion,
                                                  when Russia and Ukraine
                                                  tentatively agreed to a
                                                fifteen-point
peace
                                                    plan in talks mediated
                                                  by Turkey. Details still had
                                                  to be worked out, but the
                                                  framework and the political
                                                  will were there.
                                  
                                    Russia
was
                                          ready to withdraw from all of Ukraine,
                                          except for Crimea and the
                                          self-declared republics in Donbas.
                                          Ukraine was ready to renounce future
                                          membership in NATO and adopt a
                                          position of neutrality between Russia
                                          and NATO.
                                  
                                    The
                                            agreed framework provided for
                                            political transitions in Crimea and
                                            Donbas that both sides would accept
                                            and recognize, based on
                                            self-determination for the people of
                                            those regions. The future security
                                            of Ukraine was to be guaranteed by a
                                            group of other countries, but
                                            Ukraine would not host foreign
                                            military bases on its territory.
                                  
                                    On
March
                                                    27, President Zelenskyy told
                                                    a national
                                                      TV audience, “Our goal
                                                    is obvious—peace and the
                                                    restoration of normal life
                                                    in our native state as soon
                                                    as possible.” He laid out
                                                    his “red lines” for the
                                                    negotiations on TV to
                                                    reassure his people he would
                                                    not concede too much, and he
                                                    promised them a referendum
                                                    on the neutrality agreement
                                                    before it would take effect.
                                  
                                    Such
early
                                                    success for a peace
                                                    initiative was
                                                      no surprise to
                                                    conflict resolution
                                                    specialists. The best chance
                                                    for a negotiated peace
                                                    settlement is generally
                                                    during the first months of a
                                                    war. Each month that a war
                                                    rages on offers reduced
                                                    chances for peace, as each
                                                    side highlights the
                                                    atrocities of the other,
                                                    hostility becomes entrenched
                                                    and positions harden.
                                  
                                    The
                                            abandonment of that early peace
                                            initiative stands as one of the
                                            great tragedies of this conflict,
                                            and the full scale of that tragedy
                                            will only become clear over time as
                                            the war rages on and its dreadful
                                            consequences accumulate.
                                  
                                    Ukrainian
and
                                                    Turkish sources have
                                                    revealed that the U.K. and
                                                    U.S. governments played
                                                    decisive roles in torpedoing
                                                    those early prospects for
                                                    peace. During U.K. Prime
                                                    Minister Boris Johnson’s
                                                    “surprise visit” to Kyiv on
                                                    April 9th,
                                                      he reportedly told
                                                    Prime Minister Zelenskyy
                                                    that the U.K. was “in it for
                                                    the long run,” that it would
                                                    not be party to any
                                                    agreement between Russia and
                                                    Ukraine, and that the
                                                    “collective West” saw a
                                                    chance to “press” Russia and
                                                    was determined to make the
                                                    most of it.
                                  
                                    The
same
                                                    message was reiterated by
                                                    U.S. Defense Secretary
                                                    Austin, who followed Johnson
                                                    to Kyiv on April 25th and
                                                    made it clear that the U.S.
                                                    and NATO were no longer just
                                                    trying to help Ukraine
                                                    defend itself but were now
                                                    committed to using the war
                                                    to “weaken” Russia.
                                                      Turkish diplomats told
                                                    retired British diplomat
                                                    Craig Murray that these
                                                    messages from the United
                                                    States and United Kingdom
                                                    killed their otherwise
                                                    promising efforts to mediate
                                                    a ceasefire and a diplomatic
                                                    resolution.
                                  
                                    In
                                            response to the invasion, much of
                                            the public in Western countries
                                            accepted the moral imperative of
                                            supporting Ukraine as a victim of
                                            Russian aggression. But the decision
                                            by the U.S. and British governments
                                            to kill peace talks and prolong the
                                            war, with all the horror, pain and
                                            misery that entails for the people
                                            of Ukraine, has neither been
                                            explained to the public, nor
                                            endorsed by a consensus of NATO
                                            countries. Johnson claimed to be
                                            speaking for the “collective West,”
                                            but in May, the leaders of France,
                                            Germany and Italy all made public
                                            statements that contradicted his
                                            claim.
                                  
                                    Addressing
the
                                                    European Parliament on May
                                                    9, French President Emmanuel
                                                    Macron
                                                      declared, “We are not
                                                    at war with Russia,” and
                                                    that Europe’s duty was “to
                                                    stand with Ukraine to
                                                    achieve the cease-fire, then
                                                    build peace.”
                                  
                                    Meeting
with
                                                    President Biden at the White
                                                    House on May 10, Italian
                                                    Prime Minister Mario Draghi
                                                      told reporters,
                                                    “People… want to think about
                                                    the possibility of bringing
                                                    a cease-fire and starting
                                                    again some credible
                                                    negotiations. That’s the
                                                    situation right now. I think
                                                    that we have to think deeply
                                                    about how to address this.”
                                  
                                    After
speaking
                                                    by phone with President
                                                    Putin on May 13, German
                                                    Chancellor Olaf Scholz
                                                    tweeted that he
                                                      told Putin, “There
                                                    must be a cease-fire in
                                                    Ukraine as quickly as
                                                    possible.”
                                  
                                    But
                                            American and British officials
                                            continued to pour cold water on talk
                                            of renewed peace negotiations. The
                                            policy shift in April appears to
                                            have involved a commitment by
                                            Zelenskyy that Ukraine, like the
                                            U.K. and U.S., was “in it for the
                                            long run” and would fight on,
                                            possibly for many years, in exchange
                                            for the promise of tens of billions
                                            of dollars worth of weapons
                                            shipments, military training,
                                            satellite intelligence and Western
                                            covert operations.
                                  
                                    As
the
                                                    implications of this fateful
                                                    agreement became clearer,
                                                    dissent began to emerge,
                                                    even within the U.S.
                                                    business and media
                                                    establishment. On May 19,
                                                    the very day that Congress
                                                    appropriated $40 billion for
                                                    Ukraine, including $19
                                                    billion for new weapons
                                                    shipments, with not a single
                                                    dissenting Democratic vote,
                                                  The
                                                New
York
                                                    Times
                                                  editorial board penned a
                                                  lead
                                                    editorial titled, “The
                                                  war in Ukraine is getting
                                                  complicated, and America isn’t
                                                  ready.”
                                  
                                    The
                                                    Times
                                                  asked serious unanswered
                                                  questions about U.S. goals in
                                                  Ukraine, and tried to reel
                                                  back unrealistic expectations
                                                  built up by three months of
                                                  one-sided Western propaganda,
                                                  not least from its own pages.
                                                  The board acknowledged, “A
                                                  decisive military victory for
                                                  Ukraine over Russia, in which
                                                  Ukraine regains all the
                                                  territory Russia has seized
                                                  since 2014, is not a realistic
                                                  goal.… Unrealistic
                                                  expectations could draw [the
                                                  United States and NATO] ever
                                                  deeper into a costly,
                                                  drawn-out war.”
                                  
                                    More
recently,
                                                    warhawk Henry Kissinger, of
                                                    all people, publicly
                                                    questioned the entire U.S.
                                                    policy of reviving its Cold
                                                    War with Russia and China
                                                    and the absence of a clear
                                                    purpose or endgame short of
                                                    World War III. “We are at
                                                    the edge of war with Russia
                                                    and China on issues which we
                                                    partly created, without any
                                                    concept of how this is going
                                                    to end or what it’s supposed
                                                    to lead to,”
                                                      Kissinger told The
                                                Wall
Street
                                                    Journal.
                                  
                                    U.S.
                                            leaders have inflated the danger
                                            that Russia poses to its neighbors
                                            and the West, deliberately treating
                                            it as an enemy with whom diplomacy
                                            or cooperation would be futile,
                                            rather than as a neighbor raising
                                            understandable defensive concerns
                                            over NATO expansion and its gradual
                                            encirclement by U.S. and allied
                                            military forces.
                                  
                                    Far
from
                                                    aiming to deter Russia from
                                                    dangerous or destabilizing
                                                    actions, successive
                                                    administrations of both
                                                    parties have sought every
                                                    means available to
                                                      “overextend and unbalance”
                                                    Russia, all the while
                                                    misleading the American
                                                    public into supporting an
                                                    ever-escalating and
                                                    unthinkably dangerous
                                                    conflict between our two
                                                    countries, which together
                                                    possess more than 90% of the
                                                    world’s nuclear weapons.
                                  
                                    After
                                            six months of a U.S. and NATO proxy
                                            war with Russia in Ukraine, we are
                                            at a crossroads. Further escalation
                                            should be unthinkable, but so should
                                            a long war of endless crushing
                                            artillery barrages and brutal urban
                                            and trench warfare that slowly and
                                            agonizingly destroys Ukraine,
                                            killing hundreds of Ukrainians with
                                            each day that passes.
                                  
                                    The
                                            only realistic alternative to this
                                            endless slaughter is a return to
                                            peace talks to bring the fighting to
                                            an end, find reasonable political
                                            solutions to Ukraine’s political
                                            divisions, and seek a peaceful
                                            framework for the underlying
                                            geopolitical competition between the
                                            United States, Russia and China.
                                  
                                    Campaigns
to
                                                    demonize, threaten and
                                                    pressure our enemies can
                                                    only serve to cement
                                                    hostility and set the stage
                                                    for war. People of good will
                                                    can bridge even the most
                                                    entrenched divisions and
                                                    overcome existential
                                                    dangers, as long as they are
                                                    willing to talk - and listen
                                                    - to their adversaries.