Trump
                                  stands accused of committing forty
                                        felonies for
                                  absconding from the White House with a trove
                                  of classified and top-secret papers, stashing
                                  them at his Palm Beach golf resort, and
                                  refusing to return them to the federal
                                  government on demand. 
                              Two
                                  other defendants—Walt Nauta, Trump’s longtime
                                  valet; and Carlos de Oliveira, the resort’s
                                  property manager—are accused of committing
                                  some crimes jointly with Trump and others on
                                  their own.
                              Unfortunately,
                                  there is one big problem facing Special
                                  Counsel Jack Smith’s team in the Sunshine
                                  State: The trial will be presided over by
                                  District Court Judge
                                        Aileen Mercedes Cannon,
                                  who may just be in the metaphorical tank for
                                        the former President.
                              Cannon,
                                  who was born in Colombia and grew up in Miami,
                                  was nominated by Trump in May 2020 to serve on
                                  the United States District Court for the
                                  Southern District of Florida. She was
                                  thirty-nine-years-old, relatively young by
                                  federal judicial standards.
                              Cannon
                                  was confirmed by the Senate on November 12,
                                  2020, nine days after Trump lost the
                                  presidential election, despite having
                                  only four
                                        minor jury trials on
                                  her resume as a practicing attorney. Her scant
                                  record as a published author at the time of
                                  her nomination included a series of
                                  human-interest pieces she wrote as an
                                  undergraduate for El Nuevo Herald, a
                                  Miami-based Spanish-language daily newspaper.
                                  Among the topics she covered were prenatal
                                  yoga, the health benefits of tomatoes, and
                                  Flamenco dance.
                              By
                                  all appearances, Cannon grew more serious in
                                  law school at the University of Michigan,
                                  joining the Federalist Society and
                                  establishing herself as a staunch
                                  conservative. She served as an assistant U.S.
                                  attorney in southern Florida from 2013 to
                                  2020, and in that capacity, caught the eye of
                                  the Trump Administration as a worthy candidate
                                  to add to the growing cadre of right-wing
                                  judges the ex-President had appointed.
                              Once
                                  enrobed, Cannon was assigned to a courtroom in
                                  Fort Pierce, north of West Palm Beach. Under
                                  normal circumstances, she would have remained
                                  under the radar for years, handling a
                                  challenging but standard docket of civil and
                                  criminal litigation. The FBI’s search of
                                  Mar-a-Lago on August 8, 2022, changed that
                                  trajectory in a flash.
                              Cannon
                                  was assigned to hear a highly unusual civil
                                  lawsuit Trump’s lawyers filed on August 22,
                                  seeking an emergency protective order to block
                                  the government from indicting Trump until the
                                  propriety of the search could be reviewed by
                                  an independent arbiter known as a “special
                                  master.” Suddenly, she found herself in the
                                  national spotlight.
                              To
                                  the shock and dismay of many legal observers,
                                  Cannon ruled quickly in Trump’s favor, issuing
                                  an order on September 5, appointing a special
                                  master, and reasoning that Trump was entitled
                                  to be treated differently than other criminal
                                  suspects in order to avoid the “reputational
                                  harm” that could have resulted from a hasty
                                  indictment. “As a function of Plaintiff’s
                                  former position as President of the United
                                  States,” Cannon wrote, “the stigma associated
                                  with the subject seizure is in a league of its
                                  own.”
                              At
                                  the Special Counsel’s request, the 11th
                                  Circuit Court of Appeals quickly intervened
                                  and rebuked Cannon in a stinging reversal,
                                  holding:
                              "We cannot write a rule that allows any
                                    subject of a search warrant to block
                                    government investigations after the
                                    execution of the warrant."—11th Circuit
                                    Court of Appeals.
                              “The law is clear. We cannot
                                    write a rule that allows any subject of a
                                    search warrant to block government
                                    investigations after the execution of the
                                    warrant. Nor can we write a rule that allows
                                    only former Presidents to do so. Either
                                    approach would be a radical reordering of
                                    our case law limiting the federal courts’
                                    involvement in criminal investigations. And
                                    both would violate bedrock
                                    separation-of-powers limitations.”
                              Incredibly,
                                  now that Trump has actually been indicted,
                                  Cannon is once again presiding, apparently
                                  impervious to demands that she recuse herself
                                  due to the appearance of bias. According to
                                  the district-court clerk, she was randomly
                                  selected to act as the trial judge from a
                                  total pool of seven active judges.
                              Given
                                  the broad authority of federal trial judges
                                  and her obvious pro-Trump bias, Cannon will be
                                  uniquely positioned to help the ex-President
                                  as the case unfolds. She will rule on all
                                  pretrial motions, including any motions to
                                  suppress the documents on Fourth Amendment
                                  grounds, as well as any that seek to dismiss
                                  the indictment for selective prosecution or
                                  prosecutorial misconduct. She will also have
                                  the last word on the admissibility of evidence
                                  at trial.
                              Given
                                  the broad authority of federal trial judges
                                  and her obvious pro-Trump bias, Cannon will be
                                  uniquely positioned to help the ex-President
                                  as the case unfolds.
                              Cannon’s
                                  greatest impact, however, may be on jury
                                  selection. Under the federal rules of criminal
                                  procedure, the prosecution will only have six
                                  peremptory jury challenges, allowing it to
                                  automatically exclude potential jurors it
                                  believes will be unfair. After that, the
                                  prosecution will be limited to challenges for
                                  cause (such as implied or actual bias), which
                                  Cannon will have the sole power to grant or
                                  deny. It will only take one rogue juror who
                                  holds out for acquittal regardless of the
                                  evidence to spare Trump.
                              Even
                                  if Cannon were not biased herself, there is
                                  good reason to doubt her ability to supervise
                                  the high-profile selection of Trump’s jury. In
                                  a recent criminal case, according to a
                                  transcript obtained by Reuters, she arguably
                                  committed an egregious Sixth Amendment error
                                  when she excluded the family of a criminal
                                  defendant and the general public from her
                                  courtroom during jury selection, pointing to a
                                  lack of space. She also neglected to swear in
                                  the jury pool, and was forced to restart jury
                                  selection after realizing her mistake.
                              Cannon
                                  could also play a decisive role post-trial if
                                  Trump’s attorneys ask her to issue a directed
                                  verdict that would take the question of guilt
                                  out of the jury’s hands. Such motions are
                                  routinely made in criminal trials, but are
                                  rarely granted.
                              If
                                  all this seems like a prescription for
                                  disaster, take heart: Trump will soon be in
                                  the dock in the District of Columbia, Georgia,
                                  and New York State—all far beyond Judge
                                  Cannon’s reach.